Today is the big day for the football fans. I’m more into college football other than the Eagles but I did watch a lot of the playoffs this year and I’m into it. Who am I rooting for this superbowl?

Excuse the repost from last year! First I am rooting for myself once again this year to win. The last 2 years I asked everyone to think of 2 numbers and it worked one of the years and almost last year. It actually worked last year but I didn’t have right numbers for the right teams. So this year I will once again ask for everyone who doesn’t have their own office pool numbers of course to think of 2 numbers again. We have a friendly little family super bowl board. Ya know, we just play for match sticks. Anyways, this years numbers to think about and concentrate on especially at the end of each quarter, half time and the end of the game are 3 – 3. DEFENSE, DEFENSE, DEFENSE. What numbers do the rest of you need this year???

OK, after I win then I have no choice but to hope the Giants pull off the big upset. The patriots will be tough but I really like the Giants pass rush and I think if they can keep putting pressure on Brady he’ll be making some mistakes and we’ll have a chance at an upset. Good Luck to all of you in your office pools and GO GIANTS!!!! Now I have to call my niece in Mass and start up the trash talking 😉 Have a Super Super Bowl Sunday all!

For all you snow haters Groundhog hunting is not in season so don’t even think about it. Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow today and I’m sure you know what that means. Yup, another 6 more weeks of winter. For all of us snow lovers. GO PHIL! GO PHIL!

Read the full story at http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/22963448?GT1=10856

In reality does this really mean anything for us in the north east? Think about it. Since winter started the snow has pretty much stopped. Sooooo, today I did something different. I said if I see my shadow when I go down to the basement with one light on and see my shadow then we will get 6 more weeks of Fall. You guessed it right. I did indeed see my shadow which means 6 more weeks of Fall like weather. Most of the snow that we received this season came before winter even started. For the month of December most of the snow fell before the 21st. So snow lovers can rejoice and my apologies to those of you looking for an early Spring. Just make sure you blame the groundhog and not me and remember Punxsutawney Phil is not in season right now.

For you SU fans that didn’t catch the game against Villanova today SU won and they looked good while doing it. I think that road win on Wednesday night was a big one giving the guys some confidence on the road now which they need because they have a tough road schedule ahead of them. Way to go SU!!!

As for the Golden Snowball contest it remains close and the GSB trophy is up for grabs. With this last storm Binghamton managed to dig themselves out of the basement barely slipping past Albany for total snowfall this season. It comes down to what city will step up and bring it home. Your guess is as good as mine but I’m loving the fact that it is still close and pretty much all of the cities are still in the hunt for the trophy. Rochester and Albany are the only two cities left that are still above their average snowfall for this time of the year. What a difference a month makes and the month of January really slowed things down. Enough said and have a great weekend all!

3:30 update – Thing are starting to ice up a bit now in the Syracuse area. There isn’t a whole lot of ice on the trees or power lines but it is definitely starting to stick now. The temps are holding right around freezing right now so hopefully they will go up a few more degrees to turn this stuff into rain. I’m kind of giving these updates just so people to the North know what’s coming their way. Rochester looks to be in a temporary dry spot right now and I’m not sure what’s going on in Buffalo and the other cities. Bingo hopefully is warm enough to be getting just rain and most likely Albany is getting rain.

1:30 update – It’s coming down pretty good here in the Fremont – East Syracuse area. Beats me though as to what it is that is coming down. I just shoveled and the 2 inches give or take is really heavy right now. It seems like freezing rain coming down but it’s not sticking to the trees or wires and hopefully it will stay that way. The plows have been hitting the main roads around here pretty good but I just walked on them and they are getting slick so take it easy. How is everyone else making out?

The GSB Snow Dance took place on 1/31 at 12:42 am and has absolutely nothing to do with todays weather 😉 This storm has been setting up for awhile now and WeatherT (Tony) from the forum called this about a week back. We were hoping for more of a snow event though than an ice storm. After reading reports that the storm would be a winter mix of precipitation I decided to try and change that with the annual snow dance. I don’t think it is going to work though but lets see if it can get winter back on track and give us a February that resembles the December we all had.

If you happen to stop by here today and have a few minutes please leave a comment to this post and let us know what the weather is doing in your area and how the roads are.

Pretty much all of the schools in the CNY area are closed today so enjoy your long Superbowl weekend kids. The snow has been coming down in the East Syracuse area off and on but just a quick blast here and there. That is expected to change over to sleet and then freezing rain with the possibility of some of the areas picking up between 1/4 – 1/2 an inch of ice. As I’m typing this I can here that sound that, well , I just don’t like hearing. The sound of sleet blowing against the house so it looks like the change over is already starting to happen. That said, One of the prettiest weather events in my opinion is the glaze of ice covered everything. Unfortunately it’s also one of the most dangerous weather events for our area because of the driving conditions it creates and because of the weight impact the ice has when it accumulates on the trees and power lines. A beautiful weather event that we can all do without.

If you don’t have to travel then don’t. Stay off the roads and let the salters and plows do their thing. More to come in a little while.

For all that hectic weather we paid for today my snow dance only looks to have droped a single inch of snow in the Buffalo bucket. Guess I still have a few things to work out with it.

Anyways a recap of the wild day today in Buffalo.

3am the temperature rises to 53 degrees.

4am the front with a weak squall line pass through the area.

5am the winds and artic air start blasting into the area. The temperature drops to 29 degrees at the 5am report (a 24 degree temperature drop in less than 2 hours).

6am the damaging winds begin a rapid increase acorss the area. Trees and power lines begin to fall.

7am the winds running the full length of Lake Erie cause the water level at Buffalo harbor to rise to 11.06 feet (3.06 feet) above flood stage. This is the 2nd highest flood stage ever recorded at Buffalo harbor and while records for the highest storm surge are not kept it is very likely this storm caused the most rapid rise in the lake level. An amazing 9.5 foot rise in the lake level in just a 2 hour period. This will lead to very rare flooding along the Niagara and Buffalo Rivers. (I’ll expand a bit more below).

9am while the winds appear to start subsuding the lake effect snow bursts begin to organize into more definded feeder type bands and pick up in intensity despite the strong sheering winds and partially frozen Lake Erie.

10am the snow band keep cranking and the winds again increase. Sustained winds at the Buffalo Airport peak at 54 mph with a gust of 68 mph recorded. Many school net reporting stations record gusts in the mid to high 60’s, with two reporting gusts in the 70’s, and a station south of Buffalo (Starpoint) recording a gust of 81mph. As many as 60,000 customers in WNY are without power.

12pm the winds keep going strong in the 40-50 mph range. The lake effect is still cranking over the Buffalo area. The NYS thruway is shutdown from Buffalo to Rochester.

2pm the winds let up a bit into the 30-40mph range but the lake snows begin to start breaking up and moving a bit south of the area.

5pm, winds are down to 25-30mph and the lake snows are largely broken apart and south of the area.

8pm the NYS thruway reopens. Conditions have improved dramitcally with only patchy areas of difficult travel.

I’ve got to say this is probably one of the worst winter storms I have ever seen in my 22 years living in WNY. I was really expecting the NWS to issue Blizzard Warnings for a point late this morning but as bad as it was we just didnt hit the criteria and really the worst weather only last about 5 hours. This is probably the closest thing weve seen to a real blizzard since 1977. In my opinion the only thing that really didn’t make this storm that bad was the lack of snowfall. We saw a good 4-6 hour period of really only moderate lake effect that seemed severe with the winds. But we had no snowpack to be blown around. Had we had a decent snowpack on the ground before this storm, or if the lake effect been more intense things would have certainly been much worse.

Probably the most interesting aspect to this storm was the lakeshore flash flooding. Now if there is anyone who knows the last time these events happened please let me know, I know it has happened before but it’s been a long time since the Buffalo River flooded the old first ward of South Buffalo and the Niagara River spilled its banks along Grand Island, Tonawanada and Fort Erie in Canada. It was amazing to see how the rapid rise in the lake level caused the Buffalo River to back up and in a way reverse ice jam sending huge amounts of water backwards upstream. This backup even sent water rushing back into the feeder creeks of the Buffalo River and lead to a quick rise of 1-2 feet. Meanwhile along the Niagara River the winds and push of the water caused a great deal of ice to be forced over the ice boom that keeps the ice in Lake Erie and out of the Niagara River where it can cause damage to the power plants near Niagara Falls. The boom held up pretty good considering the conditions but still ended up being breached in at least two spots which lead to even more ice pouring into the Niagara River. This lead to even more rare flooding along the Tonawanda River Walks and homes and Marinas on Grand Island. Due to the location of the Niagara River sucking water from Lake Erie and then quickly pulling it over the falls, the level of the river is usually very slow to change and flash flooding conditions are a rare occurance. Seeing some of the pictures of the fishing peirs (which usually are 6-10 feet above the river level) completely underwater with floating ice chunks was unreal.

Here is a chart comparing the Buffalo Harbor water level to the Toledo water level this morning. Can certainly see where all the water came to and left from.

Here is a larger view of the CHART.

Now for some photos. Takes to long to upload all of them on here so I’ll just link them.

Got to feel bad for this guy.

This car didn’t make out much better either.

Flooding in Grand Island, so much for that nice river front property.

Flooding in South Buffalo’s old First Ward came quickly flooding the streets and basements.

The riverwalk along the Erie Canal can’t even be seen after the rise from Lake Erie poured into the canal.

A few of my damage pictures…

A construction trailer flipped on its side.

Two trees down on the same house. Luckily the car was spared!

Poor driving conditions!

ZERO visibility!

Ok enough about the storm. Things look to get interesting again in the next day or two with winter storm watches up. Snow/Sleet/Freezing Rain, a nice mix of everything is on tap!

Another powerful wind storm is raking across upstate NY today. Much like the event that hit us three weeks ago on January 9th. The inital storm front this time was not as powerful as three weeks ago but the winds behind the frontal passage are certainly packing a little more of a punch. The winds right now seem to be letting up a little in the Buffalo area after two straight hourly reports from the airport of sustained winds at 53mph with gusts to 64 mph.

Quite a bit of damage around the area, lots of downed limbs, trees, power lines, traffic lights, semis blown over on the thruway. The airport is still opened but almost everything leaving town is canceled or delayed for a lenghty time. Almost all of the schools in the WNY area are closed. Somewhere in the neighborhood of 54,000 plus without power this morning. Lake Effect pockets are giving quick shots of white outs. One of the most interesting things is the flash flooding that is taking place along the Buffalo and Niagara Rivers. The ice that was being held in the lake is being forced over the boom with quite a bit of force and combined with the extra push of water from the lake the Niagara River is creating ice jams along the river. Something I can never remember happening before. Really curious as to what shape the ice boom is in right now after this storm.

More to come with pictures later! Stay safe today everyone!

BREAKING NEWS!!!!!

The Buffalo snow dance has been done!

Dance one resulted in 60 mph winds, thunderstorms, and power outages…

Dance two lead to a good amount of snow in Buffalo helping to maintain third place in the standings…

Dance three… we will see what happens….

While a video may or may not exist of parts of the Buffalo snow dance I will confirm the ritual took place around the 9:00pm hour Monday night. Unfortunately due to an excessive amount of pre ritual beverages my ceremony turned from sacrificing a 6 foot snow man (blowing his as… “behind” up) to burning a 2 foot replica of him to the ground.Regardless those in Buffalo can be certain we are due for some INTERESTING weather now this week.

ON another note Monday marked the 31st anniversary of the great blizzard of 1977. I hate to make those plugs like Patrick does but this is certainly an interesting you tube video to check out. If you like the video be sure to check out www.whitedeath.com where you can purchase the full length DVD and the associated book by Erno Rossi. I’m not a big book person but his account of the storm is simply AWESOME! Check it out!