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All posts for the month January, 2011

When words such as “frigid” and “arctic” are used to describe the upcoming temperatures, it might seem like a good idea to go on vacation. For those of us unable to make such a move, however, we’re stuck with the chill. On that note, this edition of the Point Blank Range Forecasts focuses on the weekend’s temperatures. Before we get into that though, it is a look back to see how the past forecast fared.

Last PBR focused on snowfall for the weekend in Buffalo, Rochester and Syracuse. Below are the snow totals for each of the three cities.

Buffalo: 1.8
Rochester: 2.6
Syracuse: 8.3

Bull’s Eye: Buffalo, Rochester and Syracuse each have snowfall totals of at least 6 inches for the weekend.
On Target: Buffalo, Rochester and Syracuse each have snowfall totals of at least 3 inches for the weekend.
Complete Miss: Any other result.

Syracuse was the only one to reach either the 3 or 6 inch mark, so this is a Complete Miss.

A tough weekend for me as both the GSB and GSG forecasts resulted in Complete Miss outlooks. That brings my average down to 0.75, below the goal for the end of the season. There are eight more forecasts remaining this season, so I still have plenty of time to reach that mark.

Now on to this weekend’s outlook. As mentioned earlier, this forecast focuses on the anticipated cold temperatures. I believe that a majority of the GSB cities will be below 0 this weekend, Friday night through Sunday.

Bull’s Eye: All five GSB cities will have low temperatures below 0 this weekend.
On Target: Three or four of the GSB cities will have low temperatures below 0 this weekend.
Complete Miss: Two or fewer of the GSB cities will have low temperatures below 0 this weekend.

Be sure to check out the Golden Snow Globe site for that update. Have a great weekend everyone, and try to stay warm!

1/16 – Just a heads up that Syracuse is over the 100 inch mark as of this morning :) Now we bring you back to Stephen )p

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With Martin Luther King Day on Monday, it’s a three day weekend for most people. So, I figured this edition of Point Blank Range Forecasts should be for Sunday through Monday. Before we get into this weekend’s outlook though, it’s a check of the outcome for the previous forecasts.

Last weekend’s GSB outlook involved snowfall for all five GSB cities. Below is the snowfall totals for each.

Albany: 7.7
Binghamton: 5.3
Buffalo: 3.5
Rochester: 4.2
Syracuse: 6.1

Bull’s Eye: Albany has more snowfall this weekend than the other GSB cities combined.
On Target: Albany has more snowfall this weekend than any other GSB city.
Complete Miss: At least one GSB city has more snowfall this weekend than Albany.

Albany had more snow than any other GSB city, but was far below the other 4 cities’ combined total, so the forecast is On Target.

That gives me 1 On Target forecast for the GSB region. Combined with the 1 Bull’s Eye forecast from GSG, I have 3 points out of 2 forecasts, giving me a 1.50 average so far.

Now on to this weekend’s outlook. Indications are that Lake Effect snowfall is in store for Buffalo, Rochester and Syracuse this weekend, so the PBR Forecast is for those three cities.

Bull’s Eye: Buffalo, Rochester and Syracuse each have snowfall totals of at least 6 inches for the weekend.
On Target: Buffalo, Rochester and Syracuse each have snowfall totals of at least 3 inches for the weekend.
Complete Miss: Any other result.

Remember to check out the Golden Snow Globe site to see that update. Have a great weekend everyone!

I was curious after the December snowfall how this January was going so far compared to normal. So far all of the golden snowball cities are above their average snowfall for January. Albany has almost tripled their normal snow so far. Jeesh, I can’t believe I am talking about Albany 😉 Looking at the seasonal stats I think this is the first time since the beginning that all of the GSB cities are above their averages for the season not to mention above last years snow totals. What’s this all mean??? Not a clue man, not a clue :)

January to Date —– Average Jan.

Syracuse — 22.3 —– 13.9
Albany —– 21.1 —– 7.5
Rochester — 17.9 —– 10.4
Buffalo —- 16.3 —– 11.7
Binghamton – 13.0 —– 8.7

Someone asked how much snow has fallen since the 9th of January when I made a post about the monthly snow totals. Here are the totals from this last blast of snow from the 9th until the 13th. All I can say is Buffalo better get it’s game on or they you may be right next to Albany. Yeah I know, Albany who :)

Syracuse — 16.7
Albany —- 13.4
Rochester – 12.3
Buffalo — 7.8
Bingo —– 7.6

Looking to keep warm? Check out our new site full of thermal underwear and long johns :))

Have a Super Weekend All!!!

National Snow Contest Just Updated at GoldenSnowGlobe.com

I just took a look at the snowfall stats for the month of January. It’s been a slow start so far for all of the cities, well maybe not for Albany which we all know isn’t use to snow :)

This month has been a good chance for the other cities to make up some snowflakes on the King of The Snow Hill, Syracuse but it isn’t happening. At least so far it isn’t. Buffalo is king of the month so far picking up just under 3 inches on Syracuse followed by Albany melting a couple of inches off of Syracuse’s lead.

Here is how much snow the GSB cities have received for the month of January so far;

Buffalo – 8.5
Albany – 7.7
Rochester – 5.6
Syracuse – 5.6
Binghamton – 5.4

It should be a couple of interesting months ahead and I still think the golden snowball trophy is up for grabs. Have a Great Weekend All!

Before I get into the first Point Blank Range Forecast of the season, I figured I’d mention what the PBR Forecast is. Basically, a PBR is the exact opposite of the Shot In The Dark forecast in that research has been done while making the forecast, though sometimes it can be from a gut feeling. I also try to keep it from being like a typical forecast that is seen on TV or on other websites.

Albany is a distance last place right now, but from time to time, they could still get more snow in a given period than the other GSB cities. That is exactly what this edition of the Point Blank Range Forecast is featuring.

Bull’s Eye: Albany has more snowfall this weekend than the other GSB cities combined.
On Target: Albany has more snowfall this weekend than any other GSB city.
Complete Miss: At least one GSB city has more snowfall this weekend than Albany.

As always, the GSG forecast is available on the Golden Snow Globe website.

I’m way behind in posting and one of the things I wanted to post about was what Jim Teske from channel 9 weather here in Syracuse sent me. Some pretty good snow stats as to what the chances are of a city winning the golden snowball award going into January with the lead. In other words what are the chances of a big come back right now for Rochester, Buffalo or Binghamton. He didn’t factor in Albany and as we all know here, who cares. No offence to Albany of course 😉

Jim went back 20 years and gathered all of the stats for the GSB cities and came up with some great results below. Jim also has a post for discussion going on at the TV 9 Weather section.

Click Image To See Stats


To sum it up the odds are against a city coming back with a city having a big lead at the end of December. That said this season has been somewhat odd considering 2 of the cities, Syracuse and Rochester have already broken a monthly snowfall record in December so who knows. Here is a little of what Jim wrote to me/us.

Jim Teske – I got to thinking whether the city in the lead at the first of the year ends up winning the award most of the time. I looked back at the last 20 years and I found that 12 out of the 20 times that was the case.

I have the lead (or deficit) the ultimate winner had at that point in the season. For the 8 times that someone made a ‘comeback’ the ground they had to make up was not that large except for 2006-07 when Syracuse was behind by 20″ Right now Syracuse is up by about 26″ Also 2001-02 sticks out when Buffalo had their week long lake effect event around Christmas. They were up by 75″!

Click here to read more at the TV 9, Syracuse blog!
Thanks Jim, I really appreciate you sharing your info and great stats with us :))