What’s always late and rarely great? Shot In The Dark Forecasts of course! Time to check out just how bad December’s outlook was and try to do better with January’s.
For December, I said the rankings would be flipped for a Bull’s Eye. If 3 were in the right spots, that would be On Target. Here’s how they were at the time of the forecast:
So, Buffalo, Rochester, Syracuse, Binghamton, Albany is the order I’m looking for…here’s how it was at the end of December…
I would have been better off saying the rankings would remain the same as none of the cities ended up in their predicted spot. I have a feeling it’s going to be that kind of season.
GSB Forecast Results
With that out of the way, time for the January outlook, and it may be the biggest “no duh!” one ever! Hey, at this point, I need as many points as I can get to make up for that dud of a forecast.
Bull’s Eye: All five cities have below average, or at least 1 is a foot or more below average, snowfall for January. On Target: A majority of the cities have below average snowfall for January. Complete Miss: Any other result.
Well it’s late and I figured I would take a look at the latest snow stats. I was surprised to see Syracuse sneak into the lead by just 0.1 of an inch. They also finally slipped past the one foot mark in snowfall for the season. I would normally say Whoooo Hoooo but come on now, it’s January 4th. Enough said for now and we’ll update the stats as we get them.
For those of us missing the big snow, here is and old family video of The Blizzard of 1966
It’s gonna be close as far as Stephen’s point blank forecast goes but I think if I were him I may want to do a snow dance and fast. 😉 See his predictions below! Binghamton, the southern most city in the Golden Snowball contest is the first city to receive 12 inches of snow. I was thinking a few of the cites would have hit that with what was in the forecast but that turned out to be a bust for all of the GSB cities.
It still looks like a couple of the cities can add to their totals but it’s not looking like a whole lot unless the LES gets going again. For now Binghamton is looking pretty good to hold on to the lead for at least the overnight.
I saw my neighbor Jim loading his snowmobile onto his truck yesterday afternoon. I’m guessing he wasn’t heading to Bingo but probably up north around Tug HIll or some place close to there where it looked like the snow was coming down. Maybe Mexico? Sooner or later it has to hit. Err, it does have to snow sooner or later doesn’t it? In the mean time head north my snow loving friends, head north
It was a very quiet December, so much so that I ended up having no Point Blank Range Forecasts for the entire month. We’re starting January, and 2012 for that matter, off with a bang though!
Those who are familiar with my PBR Forecasts know that I try to include several cities in these. But with the slow start to the season, I’m at the point where I just want to get forecasts done, even if that means going with just one city.
The first PBR forecast involves Syracuse, as there is the potential for lake effect snow Monday night into Tuesday. At last check, Syracuse is behind Binghamton by 2.7 inches, and I believe they will make that up with his storm.
Bull’s Eye: Syracuse takes the lead by 4 or more inches at the end of Tuesday. On Target: Syracuse takes the lead by 2 to 4 inches at the end of Tuesday. Complete Miss: Syracuse takes the lead by 2 or fewer inches, or trails, at the end of Tuesday.
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